Zero Sugar Beverages Market to Reach USD 19.6 Billion by 2036
The global zero
sugar beverages market is entering a structural growth phase, projected to
surge from USD 5.0 billion in 2026 to USD 19.6 billion by 2036, reflecting a robust
CAGR of 14.7%. According to Future Market Insights (FMI), the acceleration is
being driven by expanding sugar taxation frameworks, GLP-1 medication-led
health awareness, and the strategic conversion of mainstream beverage
portfolios toward zero-sugar formulations.
In 2024, the World Health Organization reinforced its recommendation that free
sugar intake be limited to less than 5% of total energy consumption. This
guidance continues to validate regulatory action globally and intensifies
reformulation pressure on beverage manufacturers.
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FMI analysis indicates that zero sugar is no longer positioned as a niche
"diet" alternative. Instead, it is rapidly becoming the default
beverage standard across carbonated soft drinks (CSDs), energy drinks, iced
teas, functional sodas, and ready-to-drink beverages.
Market Snapshot
• Industry Size (2026): USD 5.0 Billion
• Industry Value (2036): USD 19.6 Billion
• CAGR (2026-2036): 14.7%
• Leading Segment (2026): Carbonated Zero Sugar Drinks - 62.7% share
• Top Growth Geography: United States
Semi-annual data reveals momentum strengthening across forecast cycles. H1
2026-2036 growth is estimated at 14.5%, rising to 14.7% in H2, reflecting a 40
BPS performance upgrade in the latter half.
Structural Growth Drivers Reshaping Demand
1. Sugar Tax Proliferation and Public Health Mandates
Governments across Europe, Latin America, and North America continue expanding
fiscal measures on high-sugar beverages. More than 60% of global shoppers now
actively seek low- or zero-sugar drinks, signaling structural consumption
change.
2. GLP-1 Medication-Led Behavior Shift
The widespread adoption of GLP-1 weight management therapies is influencing
dietary patterns, with consumers increasingly avoiding high-sugar beverages.
FMI identifies this as a major catalyst accelerating portfolio-wide zero-sugar
conversions.
3. Functional Beverage Convergence
Zero sugar is merging with hydration, gut health, immunity, and energy
positioning. The global functional beverage segment recorded 8.3% growth in
2023, with zero-calorie energy drinks and prebiotic sodas outperforming
traditional CSDs.
Corporate Strategy: Portfolio-Wide Zero Conversion
Leading beverage companies are aggressively pivoting.
PepsiCo expanded its Pepsi Challenge tour in early 2026 following 30.8%
year-to-date growth of Pepsi Zero Sugar in 2025-nearly double the category
growth rate. FMI projects zero-sugar formulations will account for over 50% of
total CSD volume in North America by 2030.
The Coca-Cola Company launched multiple Fanta Zero variants in 2025 under its
Total Beverage strategy, phasing out underperforming SKUs in favor of scalable
zero-sugar anchors.
Keurig Dr Pepper transitioned from zero zero-sugar offerings in 2020 to more
than 40 by January 2026, marking one of the fastest portfolio pivots in the
industry.
Red Bull GmbH executed a global rollout of a zero-sugar, zero-calorie version
of its flagship energy drink in late 2025, strengthening its functional
positioning.
Reliance Consumer Products acquired a majority stake in Goodness Group Global
(Nexba) in February 2026, reinforcing emerging market expansion of
better-for-you beverages.
FMI concludes that this convergence of corporate strategy confirms zero sugar's
transition from optional alternative to default formulation architecture.
Regional Growth Outlook
• The United States holds the largest share of the global market, supported by
strong CSD consumption scale, retail scan data momentum, and advanced
zero-sugar portfolio maturity. The country is forecast to expand at a CAGR of
16.3% through 2036.
• Germany (15.8%) is benefiting from strict EU labeling regulations and demand
for organic, non-GMO formulations.
• India (13.5%) is witnessing rising demand for herbal and Ayurvedic zero-sugar
beverages.
• Japan (10.2%) continues to innovate in functional green tea and
electrolyte-enhanced zero-calorie drinks.
• China (8.0%) is emerging as a key functional beverage growth hub, driven by
urbanization and digital retail penetration.
Category Insights
Carbonated Zero Sugar Drinks (62.7% share, 2026):
Diet colas, sparkling waters, and zero-calorie energy sodas dominate, fueled by
stevia, monk fruit, and erythritol reformulations.
Sports, Energy & Functional Drinks (37.3% share, 2026):
Electrolyte-enhanced hydration, nootropic-infused energy drinks, and gut-health
prebiotic sodas are gaining strong Gen Z traction.
Competitive Landscape
The market remains moderately consolidated, led by multinational beverage
giants with expansive global distribution networks. Strategic focus areas
include:
• Natural sweetener adoption
• Functional ingredient integration
• Sustainable packaging investment
• Regional flavor customization
• M&A targeting emerging zero-sugar startups
North America continues to anchor innovation, while Asia-Pacific represents the
fastest functional expansion frontier.
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